“For The Not-Romney Voters, It Is Santorum Or Bust”

For electoral horse race analysis, it is hard to beat Electoral-Vote.com.

The Votemaster at E-V, while unabashedly not conservative, is nevertheless clearly not selling partisan spin.  He analyzes the poll numbers and helps to make sense of why the numbers are moving where they are moving.

I particularly found today’s analysis interesting, especially “For the not-Romney voters, it is Santorum or bust.”  I’m not as confident that social issues trump economics for the “true base of the Republican Party”, because so many in the conservative base feel oppressed – which often manifests as a persecution complex from a religious standpoint, true, but also has a strong component of financial persecution that manifests as anti-tax hysteria.

A surge has put Santorum all over the front of the race in Michigan. 

(Better go wipe that off.)

Santorum is still third in actual votes cast, but that is yesterday’s news.  The momentum seems to be Santorum’s to lose at this point.

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