Posts Tagged ‘2012 Election’

Third Party

March 29, 2013

The problem with the Republican Party is… well, franky, the Republican Party.

In January, the Republican leadership and conservative strategists met in Charlotte NC to try and figure out what went wrong in their 2012 bid to take control of the Senate and the Presidency. They want to improve the image of the Republican Party, but promise to maintain their core conservative values.

The RNC just released their autopsy of their failed 2012 bid. The results are interesting, but indicate that the Republican Party is about to undergo some serious changes, which the report does not foresee. They are treating the symptoms, and missing the causes and the unintended consequences of trying to win elections with the new strategy.
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RNC’s DOMA Dilemma

March 27, 2013

This must be driving them nuts.

The Republican National Committee recently came out with an analysis dissecting their performance in the last Presidential election. Among their conclusions, the Republican Party should be more accepting of gay marriage, work to create a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants, and generally stop attacking women and minorities.

Oh the schadenfreude!
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This Just In: The Mayans Also Predicted…

December 22, 2012

…that Mitt Romney would win the 2012 election.

Well, the world is still here and Romney is gone.

Happy holidays everyone!

BREAKING: DNC Gave RNC Millions

August 13, 2012

According to an earlier report, President Obama was thought to owe a huge tax bill due to what appeared to be the largest gift in history.

Documents filed by the Republican National Committee and the Mitt Romney Presidential Campaign appear to put that issue to rest.  According to the documents, the selection of Congressman Paul Ryan (R-WI) as Romney’s Vice Presidential running mate was actually paid for by the Democratic National Committee.

According to a DNC spokesperson, “This payment to the  RNC is not a political contribution in exchange for a political favor.  Instead this is the common practice of hiring outside consultants to help shape a campaign.  In the case of the DNC, we have been spending millions of dollars over the past six months trying to tie Mitt Romney to Paul Ryan’s budget proposals to end Medicare and turn it into a voucher program, but we hadn’t gotten the traction we were hoping for.  The RNC and its affiliated propaganda arms, Fox News and the Wall Street Journal, came up with a proposal to help us make that connection.  We thought it was brilliant, and gave them the green light to go ahead with the marketing campaign for us.”

The Federal Election Commission is looking into the ramifications of this move.  “Probably the biggest concern for us,” said one FEC official, ” is that any contribution to the Romney campaign that pays for an ad that mentions that Paul Ryan is Romney’s running mate may end up being considered an in-kind contribution to the Obama campaign.”

BREAKING: Obama May Declare Bankruptcy

August 13, 2012

IRS officials are said to be poised to slap President Obama with a huge tax bill, so large the Democrat may have to declare bankruptcy.

At issue is the Gift Tax, and Mitt Romney’s announcement today that Paul Ryan will be his running mate.

“This announcement is a huge gift to Obama.  In fact it is the largest gift I have seen in my career,” said one IRS official.  “We have appraisers working right now to try to assess the value of this gift, but so far the closest to a valuation we have gotten is ‘Priceless'”.  Once we have a better handle on the dollar value of this gift, we’ll be presenting the President with a bill.”

Independent experts say the value is so high that the tax bill will likely cause Obama to have to declare bankruptcy.

Parsing Romney’s Speech

July 12, 2012

Romney’s Speech at the NAACP, with clarifications.

The opposition charges that I and people in my party are running for office to help the rich. Nonsense. The rich will do just fine whether I am elected or not…I am running for president because I know that my policies and vision will help hundreds of millions of middle class Americans of all races, will lift people from poverty, and will help prevent people from becoming poor. My campaign is about helping the people who need help.

True for the following value definitions:

Rich = People who have more money than Mitt Romney

Middle class  = People who have about the same amount of money as Mitt Romney

Poverty/Poor = Having less money than Mitt Romney, but more money than you.

You = Mitt doesn’t care.  Your cookies suck.

Oh, crap!. No, wait, Oh WOW! No, wait, Oh crap….

June 28, 2012

CNN reported initially that the court had struck the mandate provisions.

The mandate provision was a large part of what made the Affordable Care Act actually affordable for everyone, and made the prospect of covering anyone regardless of their existing health problems palatable to insurance companies.

But then CNN issued a correction, stating that Roberts voted with the 5-4 majority to uphold the mandate (as well as the other provisions).   Wow!  I still don’t believe it!

But then the “Oh crap” moment settled back in…

First, the ACA (or ObamaCare, if you prefer), is and was the Conservative solution to the health care crisis – give the insurance companies a LOT of money and keep them profitable, rather than chasing the moneychangers from the temple and providing inexpensive healthcare by doing it without a profit margin (horrors!) by choosing a single payer system  (electoral-vote.com has a terrific write-up of the conservative pedigree of ObamaCare).  Not the best solution to the problem, the Conservative solution (because the pragmatic Obama thought that would be his best shot at getting something passed… little did he realize how deeply the hatred for him would cause the conservatives to back away from their own plan and vilify it as worse than communism.  Communism! Radical Islamic Communism!  Ahhhh!  Hair on fire!).  So, yay, we’ve managed to preserve a watered-down half-solution giveaway to big business.  Yay for us!

Second, yes, their hair is now totally on fire.  The Tea Party (with their imaginary friends and dainty little plastic pink teacups) are going to be spinning themselves into a frenzy to get rid of Obama so they can overturn the law.  Obama, on the other hand, is drawing lukewarm support because his pragmatism has caused him to give away the cow for some “magic beans”… and since this isn’t a fairy tale, the beans aren’t magic.  The Conservatives will never love Obama, they will never like him, and they will never accept anything he does as anything other than utter Radical Islamic Communism, even when what he is doing is the Conservatives’ own plan, lock, stock and barrel.  He is Obama, he is the ENEMY and no amount of compromise will ever satisfy them.  The Liberals aren’t so hot for him either, because Obama isn’t actually very Liberal (“public opinion [is against the ACA] by roughly 15%, although 15% of the people who oppose it do so because they want a Canadian-style single-payer system”).  So yay, we just got handed a much more difficult election.  Yay for us!

Well, crap.

June 6, 2012

So Walker survived the recall election.  Damn.

Well, at least there is a good chance he’ll end his term in jail.

Voter Fraud Allowed In Texas (If You Are A White Republican)

June 1, 2012

Texas’ new voter ID law was in effect for the primary on Tuesday.

Unless you were white, and voting in the Republican Primary.

How do I know this?  I’m white, and I voted in the Republican Primary.  I was not asked to show an ID.  My voter registration card was not signed (I deliberately handed it to them with the unsigned line facing the poll worker) and was not asked to sign the card (as I had been in the Democratic Primary I voted in during a previous year). 

The signature is required in order to vote.  The ID is required in order to vote.  I’m not even a Republican.

And I wasn’t asked to sign the card.  I wasn’t asked for my ID.

And I was allowed to vote in the Republican Primary.

To be clear, I was not trying to vote more than once, not even to vote in both parties’ primary.  I was not trying to pretend to be someone I am not.  I am eligible to vote, and I am registered to vote.  So my complaints are about technicalities rather than on substance or allowance of actual criminal behavior.  But those technicalities will be used (and I am sure were used Tuesday) to disenfranchise eligible, registered voters in Texas, or at least hassle them and make voting more difficult for them.

Because they aren’t white.

As an aside – I voted in the Republican Primary because none of the Democratic races in my district were competitive (only one candidate per race), I have no real preference for the Democratic candidate for the Senate race, and I wanted an opportunity to vote against my current Representative (in an attempt to effect the winner in a district where the Republican will always win), and to have a voice in what Republican will get elected in the Senate race (same problem).  The last time I voted for a Republican, I was in 7th grade.  I was young, and naive enough to buy into Reagan’s “Morning In America”, so I voted for him in my school’s mock election.  An embarassing fact I shall never be able to live down.

Not-Romney Takes 31% in Texas

May 31, 2012

While the “big news” varied between Romney’s cuddle in front of the fireplace with the Birther movement, and the fact that he has essentially clinched the nomination, I think the bigger news is that Not-Romney is still showing considerable ability to get votes.

Or, to put it another way, Romney is still showing his ability to not get votes – just over 31% put in protest votes against a candidate they dislike, even though he’s already won. 

My personal expectation is that this percentage is going to grow now that Romney has clinched the nomination.  Romney voters have little incentive to go to the polls, while many of the Not-Romney voters are likely to still be dissatisfied enough to make it to the polls, despite the fact that their votes “won’t count”.

The question still remains about November, though.

Not that any Not-Romney voter is the least bit likely to vote for Obama.  No, the question is if they are die-hard enough to turn around and vote for the guy they were die-hard enough to vote against when their vote didn’t even count, just to try and make sure Obama isn’t re-elected, or if instead they are dissatisfied enough with Romney that voting against him when their vote doesn’t count will have spent their ability to care.

Part of this will hinge on how close the election appears to be.  I suspect the Not-Romney sentiment won’t hold in swing states, but in Red states you’ll see lower than expected support for Romney if the election looks to be a clear win for Obama.  Of course, the same may hold true for Obama supporters in Red states if the election looks easily winnable for Obama…

Excellent Election Resources:

Daily Kos Election coverage

Electoral-Vote.com (with a nice, clean, new look!)


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