Posts Tagged ‘Santorum’

Not-Romney Still Getting >25% of Conservative Votes

May 18, 2012

Santorum and Newter are out of the race, and Paul has stopped spending money on campaigning. 

My disappointment knows no bounds.

Now all we are left with isEtch-A-Mitt

And yet, despite the foregone conclusion, despite the fact that there aren’t any other candidates in the race, Etch-A-Mitt is still struggling to get three-quarters of his own party to vote for him.

Mitt needs your support! Visit his new website today!

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“For The Not-Romney Voters, It Is Santorum Or Bust”

February 17, 2012

For electoral horse race analysis, it is hard to beat Electoral-Vote.com.

The Votemaster at E-V, while unabashedly not conservative, is nevertheless clearly not selling partisan spin.  He analyzes the poll numbers and helps to make sense of why the numbers are moving where they are moving.

I particularly found today’s analysis interesting, especially “For the not-Romney voters, it is Santorum or bust.”  I’m not as confident that social issues trump economics for the “true base of the Republican Party”, because so many in the conservative base feel oppressed – which often manifests as a persecution complex from a religious standpoint, true, but also has a strong component of financial persecution that manifests as anti-tax hysteria.

A surge has put Santorum all over the front of the race in Michigan. 

(Better go wipe that off.)

Santorum is still third in actual votes cast, but that is yesterday’s news.  The momentum seems to be Santorum’s to lose at this point.

A Night Of Santorum

February 9, 2012

It was a night of Santorum. (Probably in both senses of the word.)  Santorum came out from behind (as you would expect it would).

And now there really is a three-way going on in the Republican party (which, logically, is what you might expect to cause Santorum).

Sorry, can’t help myself.

I mean a three-way race.  On the right, Newt and Santorum.  On the marginally less right, you have the rich guy.  I mean, the richest guy.  

Oh, yeah, 12% Paul is still in the race too.  2016 will be Ron Paul’s year.  Fourth time is the charm.  Just not this time around. (Always a bridesmaid, never a bride.)

What is going to make this even more interesting is going to be the Vice-Presidential pick.  If Romney gets the nomination, there will be pressure to pick a VP that is more conservative, or at least more conservative-looking, as an incentive to keep the ultra-conservative base onboard. The animosity of the attacks between the candidates means that it would be difficult to make hat choice from one of the other three candidates still in the race.  With the exception of Huntsman (who is actually more liberal than Romney), the ones that have dropped out of the race already did so in disgrace. 

And finally, the media is eating this up.  They love nothing better than a horse race, because it brings in the eyeballs.  But the process is also uncovering the real story – the Republicans can’t seem to make up their minds about what candidate they want… mostly because their field is so weak, and the Tea Party’s faux libertarian streak is fracturing the unity of the conservative vision.

What A Day

January 19, 2012

No sooner than I get my site back up and running after yesterday’s blackout, but news breaks that Governor Goodhair’s zombie campaign has finally been put out of our misery (and amusement).

And the results of the Iowa caucus have changed.

And Goodhair endorses Newt.

And Romney is apparently hiding a lot of money offshore to avoid taxes.

And Newt’s ex-wife is going to talk about their divorce.

And the 4,634th primary debate is on tonight.

Wow.

This is a changed landscape.

It turns out that Santorum was the actual winner of the Iowa primary.  With the advantages he has in South Carolina, this should give him a boost, just when he needs it. 

Romney, at a disadvantage in South Carolina and reeling from his corporate raider history, has lost the momentum of being a winner (because everyone loves a winner, and Republicans doubly so), and has been under direct attack from a surprisingly fierce Newt, and is now faced with a tax dodger label and the fact that he wasn’t really a winner after all.  Ouch.

The departure of Goodhair means the wingnuts’ choice has narrowed to Newt, Paul and Santorum.  I would have thought that the Perry votes would end up with Santorum after the Iowa news, but Goodhair’s endorsement of Newt may change that equation.

Newt’s attack politics and the endorsement by Goodhair could turn some voters off, but since the negative politics hasn’t dimmed Newt’s prospects so far, that isn’t too likely by my estimate.  More likely, though, is the interview with Newt’s ex-wife could send voters to Santorum or Paul.  So far, Newt’s personal ethics issues haven’t been a factor, but until now it has been something voters could avoid dealing with, and now the voters’ noses are going to be rubbed in it.

With Perry out, about 12% of the SC vote is up for grabs.  There is about a 5-7% spread between Romney and Newt.  If Newt and Santorum split those votes, Newt will narrowly beat Romney, and Santorum will take third, with about half as many votes of either of the leaders.  Paul will pull between 10-15% of the vote.

I said before that Newt, who was dropping in the polls, would have another resurgence, and here it is.  We’ll see if it lasts.

As always, take my prognostication with a grain of salt about the size of my ego.

(And, yes, I am deliberately refering to Gingrich as “Newt”, and Santorum-ing Santorum.  Allow me my fun.  Goodhair has dropped out.)

Why the NH Primary Doesn’t Count, And the SC Primary Does

January 11, 2012

In a word, “ObamneyCare“.

Only those Northern liberals who pretend to be Republicans would vote a socialist like Romney to head the conservative ticket.

The only place you’ll wind up with a True Conservative candidate as the winner is a truly Conservative state, like South Carolina.

So ignore the northern Socialist “Republicans”, they don’t count as True Conservatives.

The Santorum Problem

January 7, 2012

Why is it so easy?  You can always count on the stupid, crazy people say stupid, crazy things.

Rick Santorum (beneficiary of the core base of the Republican party struggling to find a stupid, crazy person that shares their stupid, crazy views without being, well, dumb as a box of hair or bat-shit crazy) is about to follow the path of the earlier darlings of the wingnuts.

Rick Santorum has some problems.

Rick Santorum has a sex problem.

Rick doesn’t like the gay.  And while that is fine for him to be uninterested in gay sex in his personal life, he has chosen to fight a battle that he’s already lost.  Acceptance of homosexuality as non-criminal (as opposed to beastiality, which he mistakenly compares it to) has been the norm for decades.  And acceptance of gay marriage, while not yet universal, is following suit.

Rick Santorum has a Google problem.

Santorum’s gay problem has led to a Google problem.  LMGTFY.  If the election were held today (and it is), “Santorum” would be the result of a gay sex act.  The web has spoken.

Rick Santorum has a race problem.

He said it.  He meant it.  He was only stating the cultural meme by which the Tea Party look at government.  Which will get him that segment of the vote, but will kill his chances in the general election, hence the attempt at retraction. 

Face it, Rick Santorum has a Santorum problem.

Explain it to Santorum

January 6, 2012

I’ve seen this around the web in a few places, and so far I haven’t been able to find the original source (but if I do, I’ll be sure to update this page with the correct info).

But it is a great way to explain to “Man on Dog” Santorum and others who feel the same way:

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